I live around the corner from a new courthouse that opened earlier this year. It’s generally still a quiet neighborhood, but the frequency of incidents involving people screaming at each other outside my window has certainly increased considerably. In fact, there’s an argument going on outside as I write this. Turns out, going to court gets people all riled up.
We’re lookin’ at a 5-game slate in the NBA DFS streets tonight as both sites decided to leave off the 11 PM ET OKC-GSW clash. Let’s win some money, shall we? I’ll do the game-by-game thing and update the cores at the top of the page, as needed.
DK Core
- Tyrese Maxey ($9,900)
- Marvin Bagley III ($3,600)
- Jared McCain ($4,200)
- Jaylen Brown ($9,300)
FD Core
- Tyrese Maxey ($10,400)
- Marvin Bagley III ($4,300)
- Jared McCain ($4,300)
- Jaylen Brown ($9,200)
Because Bagley is C-only, he’s a riskier play on FD. Still a great one, but there’s always lots of opportunity cost. Gobert and Poeltl are my next favorites there.
Wizards-Sixers
Yeah man, we get to deal with the goddamned Wizards again. Alex Sarr remains out, so we’re probably getting another Marv Bagley start with Tristan Vukcevic spelling him on occasion. Bagley played 29 minutes to Vuk’s 20 last night. Both are excellent per-minute producers, and both are absurdly cheap again, especially on DK. Lineups including both centers turned out decently last night, but I’m still going to max-1 this situation.
Middleton, Kispert, and Tre Johnson are out, as well. McCollum’s usage is up around 30% without Khris/Sarr on the floor. It’s worth noting he’s an old man on a team going nowhere on the second half of a B2B, but he’s a solid enough play. George is more expensive than he was yesterday but I don’t mind going back to the well. We’ll have some value here with Champagnie and Coulibaly, while guys like Whitmore, Bub, and Branham are even viable if you’re a sicko.
It’s an elite spot for the Sixers, who won’t have Embiid, Oubre, or Watford, while George, Drummond, and Grimes are all Q. Lots of moving parts here. The main thing is Maxey looks like a god. He’ll be wildly popular, but he’s a scary fade in this spot given the injuries here. McCain looks like an excellent value as it is, and he’ll only get better if guys like PG and Grimes are out. Center gets very dicey if Drummond sits. I guess Bona and Barlow can fill those minutes, but yuck.
Blazers-Raps
Portland is still down all their point guards, while Clingan is Q after missing Sunday’s game with illness. They started small in that game with Cissoko and Murray, while Time Lord played just under 20 off the bench. I assume Avdija will have to deal with Scottie here, and he’s now pushing $10,000. Think he’s still a terrific play, especially if the salary keeps the ownership down. Murray played 35 minutes in the non-Clingan game. Not a great per-minute guy, but he’s cheap with F/G eligibility on DK. SF-only on FD. I don’t mind Williams even off the bench if Clingan is out, though TOR has been a pretty capable interior D.
Still no RJ for the Raps, so Walter likely sticks with the starters. He’s weak per-minute (0.75 DK) but affordable with G/F if you need it. You probably don’t. Think Shead is a better play in a similar range, albeit without the positional versatility. Barnes and BI both see 3.6% usage boosts without Barrett, followed by Quickley at +2.6%. POR plays fast and isn’t great defensively without Jrue/Scoot, so I’m a max-2 of the main 3 Toronto pieces. Poeltl is generally fine, and he’s played 30+ in 3 of the last 5.
Grizz-Spurs
The Grizzlies still don’t have Ja or a bunch of other random secondary pieces, while Landale is Q here. Spurs’ defense has been Big Trash without Wemby/Castle, but MEM still has a lot of random guys in the rotation. We just haven’t seen it with JJJ, but he’s getting cheaper and it’s a good spot. If he’s low-owned he’s ok, but likely a fade if chalk. Edey really took it to the Kings in the last game. Don’t mind him as a low-owned dart, just expensive now. Minutes for Coward are trending up, but he’s slumping. Still a solid play on FD. Vince Williams can stay in a pool but meh.
Spurs aren’t really extending Fox too much but the usage is way up to 31% without Wemby/Castle. One of the better spends on the slate, and should go overshadowed. Don’t mind the spot for Keldon since the Grizz play fast, but nobody else has shown much upside.
Wolves-Pels
Still no injuries for MIN and this is an elite spot against the Pels’ awful rim defense. Edwards and Randle both look outstanding. I’m still generally inclined to max-1 Edwards/Randle since they’re not super likely to go Ultra Nuke in the same game, but it’s a smallish slate so I think you can play both if you must. Good enough spot for Rudy/Naz, as well. I’d max-2 Rudy/Naz/Randle. I’d also max-2 the secondary options – Rudy/Naz/DiVo/McDaniels.
Murphy and Hawkins are Q for NOLA with Murray, Jones, Poole, Matkovic still out. Zion has been meh and this is a tough spot with Rudy patrolling the rim. Never a bad roll of the dice, Randle just looks like a guy hitting a ceiling more often given the matchups in this price range. Bey has been on a tear, but priced up. Still starting in place of Herb, but I’d probably need Murphy to sit again to pull the trigger on Saddiq. Alvarado has also seen a boosted role without Trey, so he and Fears (max-1) would look playable in that scenario. Not psyched to get to anyone here, tho.
Knicks-Celtics
OG and Shamet are still out for NY. Not really a fun spot here overall, and they’re priced appropriately for OG’s absence at this point. People will get to Brunson/Towns because people always get to Brunson/Towns, I just prefer other spots. Celtics are pretty good at limiting transition so not a nut spot for Mikal or Hart either.
The Knicks are still elite defensively around the paint, but they’re giving up tons of catch-and-shoot 3s. You know who doesn’t even try to get into the paint? The Celtics You know who takes tons of C&S 3s? Also the Celtics. All of Brown/White/Pritchard (max-2) could fare pretty well here. White’s generally been ass, but he profiles pretty well for the matchup. Can also justify giving Queta a look as he’s shown some ceiling lately, but the matchup doesn’t suit him nearly as well.
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